The Colorado Independent - Latest Comments in Obama Leading Clinton 2-1 in State Delegates

Re: Obama Leading Clinton 2-1 in State Delegates

c_b — Tue, 08 Apr 2008 22:10:25 -0000

More on 5th CD I found results from the county conventions for all but 2 (small) counties in the 5th CD. Those numbers give a definite 3-1 split for Obama (even if the 2 remaining counties went 100% for Clinton, and Obama won both solidly in the caucuses).

Re: Obama Leading Clinton 2-1 in State Delegates

c_b — Tue, 08 Apr 2008 11:37:07 -0000

Any more explanation available? I'm also glad to see this new information, but I would love to get any more explanation of the actual numbers in the graph. Are these delegate numbers to the county conventions (or assemblies)?

As far as national delegate projections based on these numbers go (see http://www.thegreenp... ), most look correct, with the exception of CD5. The results in this graph (Obama 362, Clinton 241, "Undecided" 83) yield the 2-2 split shown on that site.

The caucus results were 69-31% Obama (including all of Park County, because I don't have info on how to split it between CDs) which gives a 3-1 split of delegates. The only County Convention results available are from El Paso County, but that's 80% of the CD, and its results match the caucus results very well, with a 69.5-30.5% split. It would take some major shifts in the other smaller counties to change that.

Re: Obama Leading Clinton 2-1 in State Delegates

greenchiledem — Mon, 07 Apr 2008 07:49:15 -0000

Nice report Leslie. I hadn't seen the assembly results reported until now. I am thinking that the loss of 3% for Sen. Obama at assembly would have little or no effect on the number of delegates to the CD and state conventions and in the end little change in the composition of the delegation to the DNCC. Is that your view?