The Colorado Independent - Latest Comments in Colorado only remaining toss-up state, Hotline says

Re: Colorado only remaining toss-up state, Hotline says

eluning — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 02:36:31 -0000

Yes, WVa is Obama-lean based on the most recent poll, ARG, which is a Republican polling outfit and which has Obama up 50-42, which is outside the 4 percent margin of error. I imagine it's a lean because that's the first WVa poll to show Obama ahead, previous polls have had McCain up.

And mathyoo, you're right, most recent polls have shown Obama with healthy leads in Colorado, but this is a projection, not just the result of the latest poll. Hotline also doesn't consider every poll that comes down the pike -- the most recent Colorado poll in its stable is the Denver Post's Mason Dixon poll from a week ago, which showed Obama and McCain in a dead heat. I would imagine Colorado moves at least to Obama-lean in next week's Hotline projection.

Re: Colorado only remaining toss-up state, Hotline says

RonThompson — Sat, 11 Oct 2008 21:21:01 -0000

This seems to be off by 5. Are they counting West Virginia for Obama? With Kerry's 252, they're adding Florida 27, Ohio 20, Iowa 7, New Mexico 5, North Carolina 15, Nevada 5, and Virginia 13. That's 344, not 349.

Re: Colorado only remaining toss-up state, Hotline says

mathyoo — Sat, 11 Oct 2008 08:37:20 -0000

That seems to be the only poll saying that Colorado is still a toss up state. Every other poll I've seen has Obama leading by at least 4 percentage points, and as many as 10.

Re: Colorado only remaining toss-up state, Hotline says

kb — Fri, 10 Oct 2008 20:44:33 -0000

Elizabeth Cady Stanton , Lucretia Mott and Susan B. Anthony, and all the other women
That fought for womens rights, you must believe that Sarah blink and wink Palin is not
The end result of your struggles. Our country has produced lots of intelligent smart women.