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Colorado only remaining toss-up state, Hotline says

Started by CIM Network · 8 months ago

Colorado's nine electoral votes are the only ones in the nation not leaning toward either Barack Obama or John McCain, according to an Electoral College projection Friday by the National Journal's Hotline that shows Obama approaching a landslide victory. The political digest's projection put ... Continue reading »

4 comments

  • That seems to be the only poll saying that Colorado is still a toss up state. Every other poll I've seen has Obama leading by at least 4 percentage points, and as many as 10.
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  • This seems to be off by 5. Are they counting West Virginia for Obama? With Kerry's 252, they're adding Florida 27, Ohio 20, Iowa 7, New Mexico 5, North Carolina 15, Nevada 5, and Virginia 13. That's 344, not 349.
  • Yes, WVa is Obama-lean based on the most recent poll, ARG, which is a Republican polling outfit and which has Obama up 50-42, which is outside the 4 percent margin of error. I imagine it's a lean because that's the first WVa poll to show Obama ahead, previous polls have had McCain up.

    And mathyoo, you're right, most recent polls have shown Obama with healthy leads in Colorado, but this is a projection, not just the result of the latest poll. Hotline also doesn't consider every poll that comes down the pike -- the most recent Colorado poll in its stable is the Denver Post's Mason Dixon poll from a week ago, which showed Obama and McCain in a dead heat. I would imagine Colorado moves at least to Obama-lean in next week's Hotline projection.
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