The Colorado Independent - Latest Comments in Base Vote vs. Swing Vote: Two Studies Weigh In

Re: Base Vote vs. Swing Vote: Two Studies Weigh In

greenchiledem — Tue, 06 Mar 2007 08:00:31 -0000

West Slope is the big, big difference here! The data shows that the Western Slope has moved significantly more progressive in 2006. It probably helps that we have two Dems from the Western Slope in Congress, but Ammendment A is still helping the Dems.

Colorado West Slope Dems, congratulations!! We rock!

Re: Base Vote vs. Swing Vote: Two Studies Weigh In

Jess — Tue, 06 Mar 2007 06:53:09 -0000

Is party ID a fad? Does the tendency to affiliate with a party fluctuate over time? Perhaps we are in a period in which parties are not popular and, thus, party affiliation declines even though core values remain on one side of the isle or another. Will the trend continue in this direction?

Re: Base Vote vs. Swing Vote: Two Studies Weigh In

Hmills — Tue, 06 Mar 2007 05:47:05 -0000

The Debate A good analysis. I am interested to see how Online polling evolves over the next few years as a format. We could see big changes in the way polling is conducted if online survey's can prove more reliable.

Re: Base Vote vs. Swing Vote: Two Studies Weigh In

Goober — Tue, 06 Mar 2007 05:43:35 -0000

It all about the base I really like the base argument--and tend to believe that people SAY they are independent and like to register as independent, but still have VALUES that fall fairly neatly into conservative or liberal camps (except for about 10%). The notion that a third or more of American voters are really 'in the middle' on the big issues is largely an illusion.